ValuEngine.com’s Top-five Medical Stocks For Forecast, Valuation, And Composite Score

  • By Steve Hach.
    stocks: PX, GTXI, SNTS, AMRI, WLP, HUM, VRX,TEVA, ALR, ACAD, TEAR, AVNR, DRTX, SRPT

    VALUATION WARNING: Our models find that overvaluation is at levels typically seen when market pullbacks occur. Overvalued stocks now make up almost 76% of our stocks assigned a valuation and 43% of those equities are calculated to be overvalued by 20% or more. 15 of 16 sectors are calculated to be overvalued–13 of them by double digits.

    MARKET OVERVIEW

    Index Week Open Thurs. Close Change % Change YTD
    DJIA 15651.98 15498.3 -153.68 -0.98% 17.83%
    NASDAQ 3682.67 3669.12 -13.55 -0.37% 21.53%
    RUSSELL 2000 1059.09 1049.47 -9.62 -0.91% 23.63%
    S&P 500 1708.01 1697.48 -10.53 -0.62% 18.84%

     

    Summary of VE Stock Universe

     

    Stocks Undervalued 24.17%
    Stocks Overvalued 75.83%
    Stocks Undervalued by 20% 10.02%
    Stocks Overvalued by 20% 43.02%

    SECTOR OVERVIEW

    Sector Change MTD YTD Valuation Last 12-MReturn P/E Ratio
    Aerospace 0.20% 1.91% 28.37% 20.87% overvalued 36.99% 18.18
    Auto-Tires-Trucks 1.34% 1.29% 39.57% 26.52% overvalued 42.27% 18.07
    Basic Materials 2.36% -0.08% 1.91% 9.88% undervalued -25.42% 19.07
    Business Services 0.56% 0.59% 74.20% 18.17% overvalued 26.87% 23.53
    Computer and Technology 0.16% 1.39% 29.02% 20.98% overvalued 23.95% 30.14
    Construction 0.64% 0.64% 31.38% 14.64% overvalued 34.54% 24.29
    Consumer Discretionary 0.38% 1.56% 31.26% 24.11% overvalued 31.93% 24.46
    Consumer Staples 0.60% 1.17% 18.59% 20.75% overvalued 23.94% 22.08
    Finance 0.35% 0.08% 25.12% 18.93% overvalued 16.74% 17.82
    Industrial Products 0.50% 2.02% 35.80% 19.14% overvalued 30.06% 20.95
    Medical -0.12% 1.77% 202.47% 18.30% overvalued 25.24% 26.34
    Multi-Sector Conglomerates 0.41% 0.63% 5.66% 14.35% overvalued 13.42% 17.52
    Oils-Energy 0.54% -1.11% 25.40% 3.82% overvalued 3.17% 27.08
    Retail-Wholesale 0.41% -0.26% 33.73% 23.45% overvalued 36.49% 23.27
    Transportation 0.48% -0.02% 22.77% 21.14% overvalued 24.43% 20.52
    Utilities 0.55% 2.15% 15.36% 10.34% overvalued 10.84% 19.96

    ValuEngine Newsletters Latest Results

    VE Newsletter Current Month Total S&P 500 Last Month Total S&P 500 Since Inception S&P 500
    Forecast MNS 2.99 0.89 3.56 2.62 91.13 84.17
    Dividend Stock -0.28 0.12 8.47 6.76 8.47 6.76
    Small Cap Stock -1.67 0.30 13.82 3.9 39.26 22.03
    View 0.43 1.27 4.51 1.48 75.27 48.02

    Sector Talk-MedicalBelow, we present the latest data on leading Medical Sector stocks from our Institutional software package (VEI). These results were filtered by market price and volume–no results below 3$/share or less than 100k shares/day volume.

    Top-Five Medical Sector Stocks–Short-Term Forecast Returns

    Ticker Name Mkt Price Valuation(%) Last 12-M Retn(%)
    PLX PROTALIX BIOTHR 5.19 N/A -10.67
    GTXI GTX INC 4.2 -28.07 23.17
    RHHBY ROCHE HLDG LTD 63.47 N/A 42.15
    SNTS SANTARUS INC 26.74 6.35 310.12
    AMRI ALBANY MOL RSCH 12.15 4.61 299.67

    Top-Five Medical Sector Stocks–Long-Term Forecast Returns

    Ticker Name Mkt Price Valuation(%) Last 12-M Retn(%)
    PLX PROTALIX BIOTHR 5.19 N/A -10.67
    GTXI GTX INC 4.2 -28.07 23.17
    RHHBY ROCHE HLDG LTD 63.47 N/A 42.15
    SNTS SANTARUS INC 26.74 6.35 310.12
    AMRI ALBANY MOL RSCH 12.15 4.61 299.67

    Top-Five Medical Sector Stocks–Composite Score

    Ticker Name Mkt Price Valuation(%) Last 12-M Retn(%)
    WLP WELLPOINT INC 87.74 8.88 52.75
    HUM HUMANA INC NEW 93.79 3.43 38.66
    VRX VALEANT PHARMA 101.68 -1.57 101.91
    TEVA TEVA PHARM ADR 39.15 -16.12 -2.73
    ALR ALERE INC 31.29 -10.62 70.05

    Top-Five Medical Sector Stocks–Most Overvalued

     

    Ticker Name Mkt Price Valuation(%) Last 12-M Retn(%)
    ACAD ACADIA PHARMA 19.78 300 1218.67
    TEAR TEARLAB CORP 12.12 300 263.96
    AVNR AVANIR PHARM 4.59 300 58.28
    DRTX DURATA THERAPT 7.79 300 4.19
    SRPT SAREPTA THERAP 36.85 228.22 372.44

    Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours.

    Themes: medical Stocks: PXGTXISNTSAMRIWLPHUMVRX,TEVAALRACADTEARAVNRDRTXSRPT

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