By Jaime Ortega.
The importance of these elections go as far, as the PRI when he returned to the presidency of Mexico thanks to Enrique Peña Nieto. The Elections go beyond the choice of more than 1,300 mayors, deputies and a governor of (Baja California) in 14 states.
For citizens is a new pulse to fight against organized crime, who’s cells tried to influence the process to control local authorities and ensure their operability (members even recognized the Federal Electoral Institute). For political parties is the litmus test of whether the Mexican agreement, has been led by President Enrique Pena Nieto to carry out structural reforms, can survive an election marred by violence, killings, intimidation and the dirty war.
The future of PAN
The right-wing National Action Party, which was in the possession of two presidential terms (from 2000-2012) and suffered a crushing defeat in last year’s presidential election to be third, plays a big role in Baja California, a state that it rules from 24 years ago and now seeks to retain the support of the leftist PRD.
An eventual return of the PRI to this state landmark (it was there in 1989 after it lost the governorship for the first time after 60 years of rule) it would mean the total recovery for power of the PRI after Peña Nieto’s victory last year and, therefore, a setback for the PAN, who has been losing political ground and today suffers from many internal divisions. The most affected would be their leader, Gustavo Madero.
The State Treaty
The day after his inauguration, President Peña Nieto Mexico signed a treaty, an agreement with the opposition parties to carry out structural reforms in the country pending crisis’s. In these seven months in office, it managed to get ahead is education reform and telecommunications but is pending an agreement between two of the largest energy company (Pemex) and fiscal policy.
The dirty war, irregularities and violence of this election campaign have strained the climate of dialogue (the majority of complaints come from the PAN and the PRD but the PRI has also suffered attacks and the murder of a mayor). If the PRI sweeps in the elections and the federal government ignores the demands of the opposition to investigate allegations of the murders, of the attacks and intimidation suffered in recent weeks, the consensus to continue working on the reforms can be changed.
Moreover, both the PAN leader, Gustavo Madero, as the PRD, Jesus Zambrano, have been criticized for its concessions to the PRI within the Covenant, that would be very weak within their increasingly divided parties.
So, paradoxically, a PRI victory in Baja California could harm the principal’s interests PRI of the Republic, and President Peña Nieto.
The drug control
The actor invited and present in these votes is the narcotics nightmare that, as acknowledged to the Federal Electoral Institute member Benito Nacif. “There is more interest in organized crime to control municipal governments. Another major problem is public safety, that is involved in the maintenance of internal order??”.
So the bishop of Saltillo (Coahuila), Raul Vera, to cast their vote, called for voting to those who “do not steal and are not involved with organized crime.” Other actors, such as the youth movement # yosoy132 advocate mass abstention.
According to the researcher from the University of Columbia, Edgardo Buscaglia, local authorities are putting their suitability in areas such as local security or transport cartels that are guaranteed to operate freely in their territories. And if you have the backing of the mayor you can also access to tenders and criminal money laundering through legitimate businesses. The latest data from the expert cast a troubling figure: that 80% of the country’s municipalities are infiltrated by drug traffickers.
Thousands of police and, in some states, the army also attempted to ensure tranquility but, as René Delgado remembered in the newspaper Reforma, the biggest problem is before voting for selected organized crime “who can compete” to through intimidation and crime. One example is that the PAN, as recognized by its leader, could not field candidates everywhere or PRI president, Cesar Camacho, recognize that it is impossible “to have a 100% certainty” that their candidates are not infiltrated by narco-traffic.